مدرسة الاحتمالات

Orlando Magic v Washington Wizards

البداية: 2026-03-04 00:12 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Orlando Magic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 88.89%1.13السعر العادل
EV -2.23%
الأفضلية -2.02%
Kelly -22.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
85.87%88.70%88.93%90.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.99%92.59%90.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Wizards (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.11%9.00السعر العادل
EV +11.14%
الأفضلية +1.11%
Kelly +1.24%
النمو +0.138%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.58%11.30%11.07%14.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.508.408.5010.0015.38%11.91%11.76%10.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +11.14%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.138%4.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV +7.81%E +0.805%K +0.897%G +0.070%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +5.59%E +0.588%K +0.657%G +0.037%4.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.67%E -6.35%K -133.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +5.59%E +0.588%K +0.657%G +0.037%5.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 89.63%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%9.33I 10.72%NM 10.37%EV +3.70%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016%3.3%2026-03-04 00:09
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.68%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.32%EV +3.36%E +0.362%K +0.405%G +0.014%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.56%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.44%EV +2.92%E +0.315%K +0.353%G +0.010%3.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetAnything1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +2.81%E +0.303%K +0.340%G +0.010%4.3%2026-03-04 00:10
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:09
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.67%E -6.35%K -133.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -0.528%E -0.059%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV -2.19%E -0.249%K -0.281%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.15%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.79I 11.38%NM 10.85%EV -2.31%E -0.262%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:58
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:09
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -4.42%E -0.514%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:00
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -4.42%E -0.514%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 88.54%EV -2.23%E -2.02%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:58
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:10
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.56%E -7.27%K -188.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 23:59
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -7.75%E -0.934%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:59
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.31%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:08
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -8.86%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:09
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 00:10
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.23%E -2.02%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -19.42%E -2.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -22.20%E -3.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -23.31%E -3.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 00:06
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -27.76%E -4.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 91.54%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.46%0.2%2026-03-03 23:59
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 90.27%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.73%0.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.89%10.87I 9.20%NM 9.11%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-03-04 00:10