The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 23:10 UTC

Final: Orlando Magic 93–115 Minnesota Timberwolves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prediction 52.23%1.91fair odd
EV -0.766%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.851%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.21%52.22%53.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.831.9058.82%54.67%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)

Prediction 47.77%2.09fair odd
EV +0.798%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.718%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.45%47.79%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.982.1153.48%50.55%50.63%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 52.23%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 47.77%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.798%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.798%E +0.378%K +0.718%G +0.006%2.0%2026-10-23 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-23 22:48
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-23 22:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.94%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 23:00
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -3.02%E -1.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 23:05
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.94%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.94%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 23:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 22:55
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 23:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 22:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 20:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 20:50
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 22:55
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 23:00
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 23:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.94%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 22:55
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.94%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.89%E -2.99%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.89%E -2.99%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.29%E -0.681%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 22:45
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.85%E -1.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 14:12
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 19:53
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:45
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 23:00
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 23:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.32%E -3.78%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.32%E -3.78%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.80%E -4.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.80%E -4.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.80%E -4.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 21:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.80%E -4.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 20:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.81%E -0.963%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.28%E -4.31%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.76%E -4.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.766%E -0.403%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.766%E -0.403%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.23%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.21%E -6.59%K -16.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 23:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -10.67%E -5.70%K -12.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-10-23 23:05
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-10-23 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-10-23 23:05
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-10-23 23:05
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-23 21:15
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-23 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-10-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-10-23 23:05
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-10-23 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%5.8%2026-10-23 22:59