Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic v Detroit Pistons

Início: 2026-04-06 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Previsão 47.96%2.09odd justa
EV +0.709%
Vantagem +0.338%
Kelly +0.644%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%47.88%48.03%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.991.982.1053.19%50.35%50.51%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Previsão 52.04%1.92odd justa
EV -0.077%
Vantagem -0.040%
Kelly -0.083%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.12%51.97%54.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.831.831.9257.80%54.59%54.64%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Orlando Magic (Local): 47.96%; Detroit Pistons (Visitante): 52.04%. Para Orlando Magic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.09. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.709%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 18:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 19:15
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.250%E -0.120%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 22:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -4.24%E -2.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 19:04
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.13%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 21:29
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.13%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:25
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:30
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:44
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:30
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.077%E -0.040%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:24
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.24%E -2.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:55
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.01%E -3.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:00
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.01%E -3.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.01%E -3.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 22:55
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.68%E -1.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:53
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.68%E -1.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.68%E -1.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:45
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.84%E -3.82%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -7.92%E -4.13%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -0.597%E -0.313%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.92%E -4.13%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 22:55
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.40%E -4.40%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.597%E -0.313%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.588%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:49
Sky Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.588%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.588%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 23:03
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.84%E -5.23%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 22:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 22:55
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-04-06 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-06 23:05
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-06 23:05
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-06 22:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-06 23:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-06 23:00
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-04-06 22:55