L’École des cotes

Orlando Magic v Detroit Pistons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prévision 47.96%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.709%
Avantage +0.338%
Kelly +0.644%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%47.88%48.03%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.991.982.1053.19%50.35%50.51%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Pistons (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.04%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.077%
Avantage -0.040%
Kelly -0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.12%51.97%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.831.9257.80%54.59%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 18:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 18:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.709%E +0.338%K +0.644%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 19:15
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.250%E -0.120%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 22:48
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -4.24%E -2.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 23:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 19:04
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 23:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.69%E -0.824%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 22:59
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.13%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 21:29
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.13%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:50
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:24
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:30
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:44
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:30
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.09%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:59
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.077%E -0.040%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 23:00
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:55
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 21:24
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.24%E -2.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:55
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 22:59
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:55
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.01%E -3.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:00
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.01%E -3.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:00
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.01%E -3.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 22:55
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.68%E -1.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:53
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.68%E -1.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.68%E -1.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:54
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:10
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:45
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.84%E -3.82%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 22:50
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -7.92%E -4.13%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -0.597%E -0.313%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.92%E -4.13%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 22:55
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.40%E -4.40%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.597%E -0.313%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 23:05
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.588%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:49
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.588%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.588%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -8.88%E -4.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 23:03
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.84%E -5.23%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 22:55
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-04-06 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-06 23:05
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-06 23:05
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-06 22:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-06 23:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-06 23:00
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-04-06 22:55