The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Orlando Magic v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 23:14 UTC

Final: Orlando Magic 125–132 Atlanta Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prediction 54.91%1.82fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.92%54.99%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.741.741.8060.98%57.59%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 45.09%2.22fair odd
EV -0.813%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.677%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.08%45.01%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.112.102.2051.02%47.48%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 54.91%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 45.09%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.813%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.15%E -0.641%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-21 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.15%E -0.641%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-21 22:45
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.15%E -0.641%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.71%E -0.786%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-21 22:15
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-21 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-21 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 22:49
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 22:55
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 13:37
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:10
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 12:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.42%E -2.08%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:05
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.813%E -0.369%K -0.677%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-21 23:10
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 23:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.87%E -2.31%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 21:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.03%E -3.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 23:10
TAB🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.00%E -2.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.00%E -2.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 14:58
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.00%E -2.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.00%E -2.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.00%E -2.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.55%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.71%E -0.786%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 23:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.55%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.55%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.55%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.83%E -4.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.56%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.813%E -0.369%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.56%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.813%E -0.369%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 23:10
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.56%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.813%E -0.369%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.56%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.56%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 21:34
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.56%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 23:00
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 13:10
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 23:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 20:35
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.83%E -4.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.67%E -3.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-21 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -11.63%E -5.94%K -12.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-21 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.29%E -4.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%EV -9.94%E -6.06%K -15.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -11.63%E -5.94%K -12.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-21 23:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.96%2.15I 46.51%NM 47.04%-1.1%2026-10-21 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-10-21 23:10
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-10-21 23:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-21 23:10
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-21 21:35
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-21 18:15
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-10-21 23:05
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-10-21 23:10