L’École des cotes

Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 00:40 UTC

Score final : Oklahoma City Thunder 103–135 Phoenix Suns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prévision 71.99%1.39cote équitable
EV -0.649%
Avantage -0.470%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.45%72.13%72.03%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.321.3880.00%75.97%75.76%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Phoenix Suns (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV +12.03%
Avantage +3.01%
Kelly +4.01%
Croissance +0.482%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%27.87%27.97%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.454.0032.26%28.86%28.99%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +12.03%E +3.01%K +4.01%G +0.482%5.0%2026-04-13 00:15
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +12.03%E +3.01%K +4.01%G +0.482%5.0%2026-04-13 00:14
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +12.03%E +3.01%K +4.01%G +0.482%5.0%2026-04-13 00:15
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +2.22%E +0.609%K +0.839%G +0.019%3.7%2026-04-13 00:19
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.22%E +0.609%K +0.839%G +0.019%4.3%2026-04-12 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:10
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:09
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%4.7%2026-04-13 00:15
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%5.3%2026-04-13 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:20
Everygame1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:19
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:15
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:14
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:09
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:15
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:14
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:35
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:14
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:14
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 17:44
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:14
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -2.54%E -0.729%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:20
Bet Victor1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 00:23
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 23:45
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:25
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:15
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:15
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:20
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:14
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 23:45
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:28
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:35
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:15
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 00:19
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 00:09
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 71.01%EV -0.649%E -0.470%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.99%EV -5.34%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 00:14
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -5.62%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:35
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.18%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:35
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.18%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:25
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.18%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 00:20
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:15
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:34
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 23:50
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 23:50
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 23:45
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:34
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:34
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.18%E -4.25%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 00:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 73.08%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.92%-0.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-13 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-13 00:35
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-13 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 00:35
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-04-13 00:35
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-13 00:30
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-04-13 00:35
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-13 00:25
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-13 00:20