La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-04-13 00:40 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 103–135 Phoenix Suns

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 71.99%1.39momio equitativo
EV -0.649%
Ventaja -0.470%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.45%72.13%72.03%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.3880.00%75.97%75.76%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 28.01%3.57momio equitativo
EV +12.03%
Ventaja +3.01%
Kelly +4.01%
Crecimiento +0.482%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%27.87%27.97%29.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.454.0032.26%28.86%28.99%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +12.03%E +3.01%K +4.01%G +0.482%5.0%2026-04-13 00:15
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +12.03%E +3.01%K +4.01%G +0.482%5.0%2026-04-13 00:14
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +12.03%E +3.01%K +4.01%G +0.482%5.0%2026-04-13 00:15
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +2.22%E +0.609%K +0.839%G +0.019%3.7%2026-04-13 00:19
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.22%E +0.609%K +0.839%G +0.019%4.3%2026-04-12 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:10
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%3.5%2026-04-13 00:09
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%4.7%2026-04-13 00:15
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.823%E +0.229%K +0.317%G +0.003%5.3%2026-04-13 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:20
Everygame1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:19
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:15
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:14
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:09
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:15
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.577%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:14
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:35
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:14
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:14
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 17:44
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.98%E -0.565%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:14
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -2.54%E -0.729%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:20
Bet Victor1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 00:23
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 23:45
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:25
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:15
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:15
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:20
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:14
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 23:45
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:28
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:35
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:15
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 00:19
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 00:09
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 71.01%EV -0.649%E -0.470%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.99%EV -5.34%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 00:14
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -5.62%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:35
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.18%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:35
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.18%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:25
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.18%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 00:20
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.81%E -2.08%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:15
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:34
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 23:50
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.53%E -2.63%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 23:50
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 23:45
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:34
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:34
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.18%E -4.25%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 00:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 73.08%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.92%-0.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-13 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-13 00:35
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-13 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 00:35
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-04-13 00:35
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-13 00:30
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-04-13 00:35
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-13 00:25
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-13 00:20