Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 01:43 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 120–107 Phoenix Suns

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 90.48%1.11fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -28.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%90.11%90.46%92.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0899.01%94.89%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 9.52%10.50fair odd
EV +19.01%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.314%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.82%9.89%9.54%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.0010.2410.4712.5014.29%9.76%9.55%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 90.48%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 9.52%. For Phoenix Suns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.50. 26 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%EV +19.01%E +1.52%K +1.65%G +0.314%2.3%2026-04-23 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +14.25%E +1.19%K +1.30%G +0.185%3.6%2026-04-23 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +14.25%E +1.19%K +1.30%G +0.185%3.6%2026-04-23 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +14.25%E +1.19%K +1.30%G +0.185%3.6%2026-04-23 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +14.25%E +1.19%K +1.30%G +0.185%3.6%2026-04-23 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.28%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%11.09I 9.02%NM 8.72%EV +5.59%E +0.504%K +0.554%G +0.031%3.4%2026-04-23 01:39
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%3.4%2026-04-22 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%3.4%2026-04-23 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%3.4%2026-04-23 01:15
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%3.4%2026-04-23 01:29
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 00:39
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 01:39
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 00:44
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 01:39
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%4.3%2026-04-23 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-23 01:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-23 01:39
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-23 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-22 02:35
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-22 02:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.73%E +0.430%K +0.473%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-23 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.13%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.89I 9.18%NM 8.87%EV +3.69%E +0.338%K +0.373%G +0.014%3.5%2026-04-23 01:34
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV +2.35%E +0.219%K +0.241%G +0.006%3.6%2026-04-23 00:59
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 01:14
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 01:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.71%E -7.56%K -385.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 01:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.71%E -7.56%K -385.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV -0.504%E -0.048%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 01:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.85%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%10.43I 9.59%NM 9.15%EV -0.694%E -0.067%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 00:49
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 00:45
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 01:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 22:05
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 20:24
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 01:29
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 01:39
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:44
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 01:10
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.90%E -5.67%K -147.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.79%E -0.479%K -0.532%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -8.60%E -0.896%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 00:44
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.55%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 01:28
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.55%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -8.62%E -8.53%K -861.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -9.55%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -2.28%E -2.11%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -14.31%E -1.59%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 01:35
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -2.28%E -2.11%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -14.31%E -1.59%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 01:18
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.31%E -1.59%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 01:19
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -99.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.31%E -1.59%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.28%E -2.11%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.07%E -2.24%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.09%E -3.86%K -68.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -19.07%E -2.24%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 01:38
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -2.28%E -2.11%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -21.45%E -2.60%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.83%E -2.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.83%E -2.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 01:30
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.83%E -2.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -33.35%E -4.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-04-23 01:29
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-04-23 01:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-04-23 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-04-23 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-04-23 01:35
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-23 01:29
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-23 01:34
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.79%10.75I 9.30%NM 9.21%1.0%2026-04-23 01:35
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-04-23 01:39
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%2.3%2026-04-23 01:35