The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oklahoma City Thunder v New York Knicks

Kickoff: 2026-06-04 00:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 66.82%1.50fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -8.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%66.82%66.82%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.421.4471.43%70.51%70.67%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Knicks (Visit)

Prediction 33.18%3.01fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%33.18%33.18%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.872.882.882.9034.84%34.70%34.72%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 66.82%; New York Knicks (Visit): 33.18%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.44, with an expected value of -3.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 05:29
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 05:30
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 02:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 02:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%11.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%11.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%11.4%2026-05-31 00:00