Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 17:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prévision 75.89%1.32cote équitable
EV -0.580%
Avantage -0.443%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.27%75.82%75.89%77.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.36%79.37%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.11%4.15cote équitable
EV +1.97%
Avantage +0.466%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%24.18%24.11%25.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.913.904.2328.17%25.60%25.64%23.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Oklahoma City Thunder (Local) : 75.89% ; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visiteur) : 24.11%. Pour Minnesota Timberwolves (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.15. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.23, soit une espérance positive de +1.97%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV +1.97%E +0.466%K +0.610%G +0.012%3.0%2026-03-15 17:05
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +1.25%E +0.297%K +0.390%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-15 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.25%E +0.297%K +0.390%G +0.005%4.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.37%E -0.585%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -3.33%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:55
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.41%E -6.07%K -33.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -4.54%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Everygame🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -5.50%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 16:59
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -0.580%E -0.443%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-15 16:50
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 17:00
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:00
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -14.42%E -4.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 17:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%0.5%2026-03-15 17:05
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95%0.6%2026-03-15 17:05
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.01%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.99%0.7%2026-03-15 16:59
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-15 16:50
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-03-15 16:35
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-03-15 17:05