La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-03-15 17:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 75.89%1.32momio equitativo
EV -0.580%
Ventaja -0.443%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.27%75.82%75.89%77.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.36%79.37%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 24.11%4.15momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.466%
Kelly +0.610%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%24.18%24.11%25.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.913.904.2328.17%25.60%25.64%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV +1.97%E +0.466%K +0.610%G +0.012%3.0%2026-03-15 17:05
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +1.25%E +0.297%K +0.390%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-15 17:05
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.25%E +0.297%K +0.390%G +0.005%4.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 16:49
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.16%E -0.284%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:54
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.37%E -0.585%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:05
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -3.33%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:55
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:55
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:59
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.41%E -6.07%K -33.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.57%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -4.54%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Everygame1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 16:55
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -5.50%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 16:59
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -0.580%E -0.443%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-15 16:50
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 17:05
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 17:05
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:00
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.37%E -3.47%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:55
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:24
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 17:00
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 17:00
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 17:00
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:00
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:05
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:00
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.86%E -2.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.62%E -2.85%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:00
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -14.42%E -4.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 17:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%0.5%2026-03-15 17:05
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95%0.6%2026-03-15 17:05
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.01%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.99%0.7%2026-03-15 16:59
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-15 16:50
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-03-15 16:35
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-03-15 17:05