A Escola das Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder v Golden State Warriors

Início: 2026-03-08 01:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Previsão 81.73%1.22odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -2.30%
Kelly -14.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.32%81.62%81.83%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.161.161.1988.50%85.98%86.21%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Previsão 18.27%5.47odd justa
EV +9.59%
Vantagem +1.60%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescimento +0.184%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.97%18.38%18.17%20.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.455.275.256.0022.47%18.96%19.05%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +9.59%E +1.60%K +1.92%G +0.184%4.4%2026-03-08 01:39
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +5.02%E +0.874%K +1.06%G +0.053%4.3%2026-03-08 01:39
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +4.11%E +0.721%K +0.875%G +0.036%3.8%2026-03-08 01:39
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.11%E +0.721%K +0.875%G +0.036%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.04%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.96%EV +3.75%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030%3.8%2026-03-08 01:40
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +3.20%E +0.566%K +0.688%G +0.022%3.9%2026-03-08 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +2.47%E +0.440%K +0.535%G +0.013%4.0%2026-03-08 01:40
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +1.37%E +0.247%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.2%2026-03-08 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:39
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:39
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:39
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:40
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:39
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:39
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:40
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.68%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.32%EV +0.275%E +0.050%K +0.061%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:30
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.37%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:39
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.37%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.37%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:30
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 81.96%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.04%EV -2.10%E -0.392%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 01:39
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -2.28%E -0.427%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 01:39
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.20%E -0.603%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 01:39
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.64%E -6.76%K -58.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -3.20%E -0.603%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:29
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:40
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:39
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:40
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:39
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -2.74%E -2.30%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 01:39
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 01:39
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:39
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.76%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 01:38
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.74%E -2.30%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 01:29
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:40
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:40
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 01:31
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.50%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:39
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.50%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -10.50%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:39
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.74%E -2.30%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -11.41%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 01:39
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.24%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:39
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.24%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -18.72%E -4.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 01:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-08 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-08 01:39
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15%1.4%2026-03-08 01:39
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%1.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-03-08 01:39
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-03-08 01:39
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-03-08 01:40
BetOpenly1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%5.2%2026-03-08 01:29