La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Golden State Warriors

Inicio: 2026-03-08 01:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 81.73%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -14.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.32%81.62%81.83%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.1988.50%85.98%86.21%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 18.27%5.47momio equitativo
EV +9.59%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.184%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%18.38%18.17%20.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.455.275.256.0022.47%18.96%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +9.59%E +1.60%K +1.92%G +0.184%4.4%2026-03-08 01:39
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +5.02%E +0.874%K +1.06%G +0.053%4.3%2026-03-08 01:39
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +4.11%E +0.721%K +0.875%G +0.036%3.8%2026-03-08 01:39
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.11%E +0.721%K +0.875%G +0.036%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.04%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.96%EV +3.75%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030%3.8%2026-03-08 01:40
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +3.20%E +0.566%K +0.688%G +0.022%3.9%2026-03-08 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +2.47%E +0.440%K +0.535%G +0.013%4.0%2026-03-08 01:40
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +1.37%E +0.247%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.2%2026-03-08 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:39
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:39
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:39
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:40
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:39
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:39
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:40
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.458%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.68%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.32%EV +0.275%E +0.050%K +0.061%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:30
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.37%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:39
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.37%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.37%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:30
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 81.96%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.04%EV -2.10%E -0.392%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 01:39
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -2.28%E -0.427%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 01:39
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.20%E -0.603%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 01:39
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.64%E -6.76%K -58.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -3.20%E -0.603%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:29
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:40
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:39
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:40
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:39
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -2.74%E -2.30%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 01:39
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 01:39
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:39
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.00%E -5.22%K -40.03%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.76%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 01:38
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.74%E -2.30%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 01:29
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:40
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:40
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.82%E -5.98%K -48.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.67%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 01:31
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.50%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:39
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.50%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.37%E -3.74%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -10.50%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:39
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.74%E -2.30%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -11.41%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 01:39
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.24%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:39
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.55%E -3.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.24%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -5.19%E -4.47%K -32.42%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -18.72%E -4.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 01:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-08 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-03-08 01:40
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-08 01:39
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15%1.4%2026-03-08 01:39
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%1.5%2026-03-08 01:39
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-03-08 01:39
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-03-08 01:39
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-03-08 01:40
BetOpenly1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%5.2%2026-03-08 01:29