La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-02-28 02:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 68.60%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -6.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.59%68.54%68.65%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.08%71.43%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 31.40%3.18momio equitativo
EV +3.63%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%31.46%31.35%33.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.053.3036.36%32.96%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.76%E -6.59%K -26.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.63%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.057%5.5%2026-02-28 02:39
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.08%E -0.344%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 02:36
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.344%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 02:39
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.344%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 02:39
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.344%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 02:39
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.344%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 02:39
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.08%E -0.344%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 02:32
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV -3.28%E -2.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -1.40%E -0.446%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 02:39
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.03%E -0.650%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 02:28
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 02:40
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 02:39
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 02:39
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 02:39
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 02:39
MyBookie.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 02:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.856%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 02:30
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 02:40
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 02:39
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.28%E -2.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 02:39
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 02:38
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 02:39
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.65%E -3.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 02:39
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:40
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:29
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:29
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.08%E -6.03%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 02:39
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.76%E -6.59%K -26.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 02:30
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.28%E -2.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 02:40
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 02:39
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 02:39
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.59%E -1.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 02:40
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.28%E -2.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 02:39
TAB1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.28%E -2.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 02:40
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 02:39
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 02:39
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 02:39
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 02:39
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 02:39
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.02%E -4.39%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:39
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.39%E -5.48%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.80%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 02:39
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:40
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:40
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 02:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.94%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 02:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 02:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 02:39
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.96%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 02:39
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 02:39
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.33%E -3.87%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.65%E -4.96%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 02:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.46I 68.49%NM 68.60%3.19I 31.35%NM 31.40%-0.2%2026-02-28 02:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-02-28 02:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-02-28 02:39
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-28 02:39
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-28 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-28 02:39
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-28 02:39
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-28 02:39
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.85%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.15%1.6%2026-02-28 02:40
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-02-28 02:40