Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics

Início: 2026-03-13 01:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Previsão 74.19%1.35odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.997%
Kelly -4.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.88%74.28%74.27%77.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.281.281.3381.97%78.01%78.13%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Celtics (Visitante)

Previsão 25.81%3.87odd justa
EV +10.98%
Vantagem +2.55%
Kelly +3.33%
Crescimento +0.365%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.10%25.72%25.73%28.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.713.724.3030.30%26.96%26.88%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 74.19%; Boston Celtics (Visitante): 25.81%. Para Boston Celtics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.87. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.98%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.49%E -7.78%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +10.98%E +2.55%K +3.33%G +0.365%5.2%2026-03-13 01:40
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.49%E -7.78%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +10.98%E +2.55%K +3.33%G +0.365%5.2%2026-03-13 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +1.95%E +0.493%K +0.660%G +0.013%2.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.656%E +0.168%K +0.226%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-13 01:40
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.656%E +0.168%K +0.226%G +0.001%5.0%2026-03-13 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:40
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 01:40
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 01:39
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 01:40
Caesars🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.44%E -0.646%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:40
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:39
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:28
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:39
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 01:29
Bet Victor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.07%E -1.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-13 01:38
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.81%E -2.15%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:39
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 01:40
Everygame🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.81%E -2.15%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 01:37
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:31
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.47%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.53%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.33%E -0.997%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -14.83%E -4.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 01:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-03-13 01:29
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72%0.6%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-03-13 01:40
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-13 01:40
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-03-13 01:40