La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics

Inicio: 2026-03-13 01:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 74.19%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.997%
Kelly -4.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.88%74.28%74.27%77.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.281.3381.97%78.01%78.13%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Celtics (Visitante)

Predicción 25.81%3.87momio equitativo
EV +10.98%
Ventaja +2.55%
Kelly +3.33%
Crecimiento +0.365%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.10%25.72%25.73%28.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.713.724.3030.30%26.96%26.88%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.49%E -7.78%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +10.98%E +2.55%K +3.33%G +0.365%5.2%2026-03-13 01:40
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.49%E -7.78%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +10.98%E +2.55%K +3.33%G +0.365%5.2%2026-03-13 01:40
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +1.95%E +0.493%K +0.660%G +0.013%2.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.656%E +0.168%K +0.226%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-13 01:40
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.656%E +0.168%K +0.226%G +0.001%5.0%2026-03-13 01:40
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 01:40
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.634%E -0.165%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:40
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 01:40
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 01:39
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.92%E -0.506%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 01:40
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.44%E -0.646%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:40
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:40
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:39
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:39
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:39
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 01:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:39
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 01:40
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 01:29
Bet Victor1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.07%E -1.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-13 01:38
Parions Sport (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 01:30
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 01:39
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:40
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.81%E -2.15%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:39
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 01:40
Everygame1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.81%E -2.15%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 01:40
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:30
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:39
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 01:37
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:31
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.04%E -3.93%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 73.47%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.53%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 01:30
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.33%E -0.997%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 01:35
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -14.83%E -4.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 01:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-03-13 01:29
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72%0.6%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-13 01:40
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-13 01:40
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-03-13 01:40
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-13 01:40
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-03-13 01:40