Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 4.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Knicks (Local): 78.61%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 21.39%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.532%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.532%E +0.113%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.532%E +0.113%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%EV -2.52%E -2.03%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%EV -1.61%E -0.349%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.61%E -0.349%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -2.25%E -0.492%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -2.46%E -0.540%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.68%E -0.588%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 21:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.88%E -4.03%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.88%E -4.03%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.24%E -6.14%K -40.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.75%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.82%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.24%E -6.14%K -40.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.89%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 21:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 21:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.02%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.02%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.02%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.02%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.88%E -4.03%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.02%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.88%E -4.03%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.45%E -5.42%K -33.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.74%E -1.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.30%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.44%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.24%E -6.14%K -40.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.44%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 23:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.03% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.97% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.95% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.05% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |