Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.39
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Knicks (Local): 71.04%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 28.96%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.38%E +0.393%K +0.550%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.507%E +0.146%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -0.362%E -0.105%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.68%E -1.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -0.942%E -0.275%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.10%E -0.621%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.68%E -1.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.97%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -3.55%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 23:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -5.29%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 23:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.31%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -6.94%E -5.30%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -1.26%E -0.907%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.68% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.55% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |