Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.12
assuming max odds 8.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Knicks (Local): 86.62%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 13.38%. For Golden State Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.47. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.04%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.45%E -5.97%K -80.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.04%E +0.880%K +1.01%G +0.071% | 5.1% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.45%E -5.97%K -80.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.04%E +0.880%K +1.01%G +0.071% | 5.1% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.58%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.42%EV +4.77%E +0.609%K +0.698%G +0.033% | 2.9% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +1.69%E +0.222%K +0.256%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV +1.29%E +0.170%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.351%E +0.047%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.351%E +0.047%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.351%E +0.047%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.351%E +0.047%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 00:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.351%E +0.047%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.351%E +0.047%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.351%E +0.047%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -0.987%E -0.133%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -1.39%E -0.188%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.95%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 13.05%EV -1.92%E -0.262%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-16 00:03 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -2.32%E -0.318%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 23:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -2.32%E -0.318%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -2.32%E -0.318%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -2.32%E -0.318%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -2.99%E -0.413%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.99%E -0.413%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.32%E -6.84%K -104.53%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -2.99%E -0.413%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.99%E -2.67%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.99%E -2.67%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.99%E -2.67%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.34%E -0.906%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -9.01%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.68%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.73%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.27%EV -12.36%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.99%E -2.67%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.03%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.03%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.03%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.03%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.03%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.03%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.03%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -14.37%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.99%E -2.67%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -16.37%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.99%E -2.67%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -16.37%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.37%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.72%E -4.29%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -16.37%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -3.85%E -3.47%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -17.04%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -62.05%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -23.73%E -4.16%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-16 00:08 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.84% | 8.84I 11.31%NM 11.16% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 2.4% | 2026-03-16 00:10 |