Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Knicks v Boston Celtics

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 23:43 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Knicks (Local)

Prediction 59.91%1.67fair odd
EV +0.652%
Edge +0.388%
Kelly +0.959%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%59.94%60.05%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6866.67%63.13%63.29%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 40.09%2.49fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.872%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%40.06%39.95%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.70%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Knicks (Local): 59.91%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 40.09%. For Boston Celtics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.74%E -5.02%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +2.22%E +0.872%K +1.44%G +0.032%4.2%2026-04-09 23:38
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.220%E +0.088%K +0.147%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.220%E +0.088%K +0.147%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.220%E +0.088%K +0.147%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.220%E +0.088%K +0.147%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.582%E -0.235%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.582%E -0.235%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.582%E -0.235%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.582%E -0.235%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.38%E -0.562%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.94%E -1.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.78%E -0.728%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.74%E -2.98%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.78%E -0.728%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:39
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.78%E -0.728%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.78%E -0.728%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.78%E -0.728%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.78%E -0.728%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.78%E -0.728%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.19%E -0.896%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 23:39
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:39
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.14%E -2.59%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.99%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.15%E -0.694%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 23:39
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.94%E -1.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.54%E -2.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:29
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.54%E -2.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:40
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.54%E -2.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:39
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.54%E -2.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.54%E -2.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.74%E -2.98%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.14%E -4.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:39
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.14%E -4.60%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:40
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.94%E -1.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 23:39
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 23:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 23:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.14%E -2.59%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 23:31
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.14%E -2.59%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 23:32
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.15%E -0.694%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.74%E -1.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.74%E -1.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.34%E -1.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.14%E -2.59%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.94%E -3.78%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 23:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.33%E -5.45%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.79%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -0.546%E -0.329%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -6.59%E -2.83%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -10.13%E -6.75%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -7.00%E -3.02%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.15%E -0.694%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.94%E -1.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 23:39
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.94%E -1.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.94%E -1.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 23:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.54%E -2.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:38
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.14%E -2.59%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 23:39
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.14%E -2.59%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.93%E -5.88%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 23:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +0.652%E +0.388%K +0.959%G +0.006%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -8.60%E -3.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-04-09 23:29
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-09 23:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:39
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-09 23:40
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%1.8%2026-04-09 23:39
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-04-09 23:40