Language:English
New Orleans Pelicans v Washington Wizards
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Orleans Pelicans (Local)
Prediction 81.05%1.23fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -13.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.32%80.96%80.95%82.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.66%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Wizards (Visit)
Prediction 18.95%5.28fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.528%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.81%19.04%19.05%21.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.935.005.4023.26%20.28%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Pelicans (Local): 81.05%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 18.95%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +2.32%E +0.430%K +0.528%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.01%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.99%EV +1.94%E +0.361%K +0.444%G +0.009% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.87%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.13%EV +0.997%E +0.187%K +0.230%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +0.429%E +0.081%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.519%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.519%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.519%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.519%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.79%E -5.91%K -45.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.519%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.79%E -5.91%K -45.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.519%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.47%E -0.282%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 23:07 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.47%E -0.282%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.79%E -5.91%K -45.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.47%E -0.282%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -3.36%E -0.659%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.36%E -0.659%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.36%E -0.659%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.36%E -0.659%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.36%E -0.659%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.79%E -5.91%K -45.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.79%E -5.91%K -45.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -6.20%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -6.20%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.79%E -5.91%K -45.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.15%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.05%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.05%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.99%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.99%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.99%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.99%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -10.56%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 23:03 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -10.94%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.84%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.73%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.73%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.73%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.98%E -5.16%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -16.63%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 23:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -18.52%E -4.31%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.74% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |