Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Pelicans v Toronto Raptors

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.492%
Kelly +0.871%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.90%44.01%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.162.152.3048.54%46.23%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Raptors (Visit)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -0.828%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.10%55.99%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.39%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Pelicans (Local): 43.97%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 56.03%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.13%E +0.492%K +0.871%G +0.010%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-11 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.07%E -0.474%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:44
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 23:44
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-11 23:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 23:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 20:44
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 20:40
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 20:59
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:44
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:53
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 21:25
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 20:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:49
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 20:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 21:25
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 00:04
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 22:53
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 22:49
ReBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 23:24
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 23:54
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 23:49
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 22:49
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:54
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 22:49
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:04
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 21:25
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 00:04
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:59
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 23:59
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 23:59
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 23:59
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 23:08
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.828%E -0.468%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 00:04
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 00:04
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 00:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 23:59
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%0.1%2026-03-11 23:54
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-03-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-03-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-12 00:04
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-12 00:04
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-12 00:04
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-11 23:29
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-12 00:04
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-03-12 00:04