Language:English
New Orleans Pelicans v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Orleans Pelicans (Local)
Prediction 73.92%1.35fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -7.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%73.83%74.00%75.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3280.65%77.64%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +0.426%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.150%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%26.17%26.00%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.703.8529.41%27.26%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Pelicans (Local): 73.92%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 26.08%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.426%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.426%E +0.111%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.426%E +0.111%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.426%E +0.111%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.426%E +0.111%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +0.426%E +0.111%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV -0.095%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -2.43%E -1.84%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV -0.617%E -0.162%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-16 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.878%E -0.231%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.878%E -0.231%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-16 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.878%E -0.231%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.878%E -0.231%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.13%E -4.82%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.878%E -0.231%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-16 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 23:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 20:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -2.96%E -0.797%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -3.17%E -2.42%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -3.23%E -0.869%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 23:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.13%E -4.82%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.49%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.61%E -6.08%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.17%E -2.42%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 23:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 06:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.61%E -6.08%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 23:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-16 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 06:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 06:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.13%E -4.82%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -8.35%E -6.73%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.55%EV -10.53%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.91%E -3.01%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.65%E -3.60%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-16 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.14% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.86% | 0.1% | 2026-03-16 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.91% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 25.09% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 23:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 00:05 |