L’École des cotes

Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 23:42 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Timberwolves 114–109 San Antonio Spurs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prévision 36.47%2.74cote équitable
EV +0.287%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.164%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.44%36.42%38.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.432.642.652.7541.15%37.90%37.74%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Antonio Spurs (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.53%1.57cote équitable
EV -0.890%
Avantage -0.570%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.10%63.56%63.58%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.501.501.5670.92%66.83%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:39
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:39
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 20:09
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 20:09
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.287%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 20:19
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 20:09
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 23:39
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 23:39
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 23:39
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 23:39
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 23:40
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 23:39
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 23:39
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.90%E -0.707%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 23:40
theScore Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.27%E -0.846%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.16%E -1.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 22:24
ReBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.27%E -0.846%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 20:09
SportsBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.63%E -0.985%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 23:39
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:34
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:29
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 23:34
GTbets2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 23:25
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 23:39
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 23:20
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 22:19
Bet Victor2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 23:18
MyBookie.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.34%E -3.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 23:39
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 21:44
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 23:34
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 23:39
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 23:39
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 23:39
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -0.890%E -0.570%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 22:19
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.53%E -0.984%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 23:39
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 23:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 23:20
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 23:38
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 23:34
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.07%E -2.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 22:29
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 23:39
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 23:19
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 23:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 23:19
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:54
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 23:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -10.42%E -7.39%K -25.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 23:39
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.91%E -2.29%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 23:38
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -0.890%E -0.570%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 23:34
Paddy Power2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 23:35
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 23:28
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 23:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.43%E -2.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 23:30
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.890%E -0.570%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 23:39
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -5.97%E -4.04%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 23:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%-0.0%2026-05-10 23:20
ProphetX2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%0.1%2026-05-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-05-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-05-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-05-10 23:35
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-05-10 23:34
Novig2.73I 36.63%NM 36.36%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.64%0.7%2026-05-10 23:39
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-10 13:10
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-05-10 23:40
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-10 23:35