Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 1.49
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 34.08%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 65.92%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.10%E -2.11%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.10%E -2.11%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.10%E -2.11%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 01:37 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.78%E -1.19%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.90%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.44%E -1.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.44%E -1.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.44%E -1.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.10%E -2.11%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:32 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.10%E -2.11%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 01:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.62%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 01:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.10%E -2.11%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.03%E -6.54%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.80%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |