L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Bucks v Orlando Magic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 00:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prévision 34.52%2.90cote équitable
EV +6.31%
Avantage +2.05%
Kelly +3.04%
Croissance +0.192%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%34.53%34.47%37.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.772.803.0842.55%36.14%35.71%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orlando Magic (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.48%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.00%65.47%65.53%68.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.451.5172.46%69.08%68.97%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +6.31%E +2.05%K +3.04%G +0.192%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -8.98%E -6.46%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.101%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:09
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.101%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 00:09
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.589%E -0.205%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:10
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.40%E -3.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 23:58
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 00:10
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 00:08
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:09
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:09
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:09
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.32%E -0.818%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 00:09
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.32%E -0.818%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 00:09
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.40%E -3.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:10
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 00:10
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 00:09
MyBookie.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 00:01
SportsBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -4.39%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -1.12%E -0.743%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 00:09
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:07
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:10
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:10
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.40%E -3.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 00:09
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:10
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:10
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:10
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:00
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 00:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -9.22%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -13.71%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 00:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -18.88%E -8.04%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.00%EV -9.63%E -6.98%K -25.35%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-09 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.68%1.54I 64.94%NM 65.32%-0.6%2026-03-09 00:10
BetOpenly3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%-0.1%2026-03-08 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-03-09 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-03-09 00:09
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-09 00:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%3.5%2026-03-09 00:10