La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-03-09 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 34.52%2.90momio equitativo
EV +6.31%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +3.04%
Crecimiento +0.192%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.10%34.53%34.47%37.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.772.803.0842.55%36.14%35.71%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 65.48%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.00%65.47%65.53%68.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.451.5172.46%69.08%68.97%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +6.31%E +2.05%K +3.04%G +0.192%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -8.98%E -6.46%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.101%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:09
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.101%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 00:09
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.589%E -0.205%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:10
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.40%E -3.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 23:58
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 00:10
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 00:08
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:09
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:09
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.62%E -0.570%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:09
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.32%E -0.818%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 00:09
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.32%E -0.818%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 00:09
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.40%E -3.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:10
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:10
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 00:10
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 00:09
MyBookie.ag2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 00:01
SportsBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -4.39%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -1.12%E -0.743%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 00:09
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:07
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:10
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:10
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.40%E -3.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 00:09
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:10
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:10
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:10
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:00
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.71%E -3.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 00:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -9.22%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.09%E -2.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -13.71%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 00:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -18.88%E -8.04%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.00%EV -9.63%E -6.98%K -25.35%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-09 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.68%1.54I 64.94%NM 65.32%-0.6%2026-03-09 00:10
BetOpenly3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%-0.1%2026-03-08 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-03-09 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-03-09 00:09
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-03-09 00:09
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-09 00:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-03-09 00:09
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-03-09 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%3.5%2026-03-09 00:10