Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks v New York Knicks

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 01:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.535%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.26%27.78%27.66%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.173.443.403.6531.55%29.04%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Knicks (Visit)

Prediction 72.21%1.38fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.81%72.22%72.34%73.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.94%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 27.79%; New York Knicks (Visit): 72.21%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +1.42%E +0.389%K +0.535%G +0.008%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.42%E +0.389%K +0.535%G +0.008%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.42%E +0.389%K +0.535%G +0.008%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.42%E +0.389%K +0.535%G +0.008%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.42%E +0.389%K +0.535%G +0.008%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 01:09
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 01:07
Marathon Bet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -1.08%E -0.304%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -5.40%E -4.12%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 01:00
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:09
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:09
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:09
Fliff🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:10
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:10
Bally Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -1.36%E -0.383%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.84%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 01:09
MyBookie.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -2.47%E -0.704%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -5.40%E -4.12%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 01:02
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.75%E -0.786%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 01:08
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.75%E -0.786%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 01:00
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.75%E -0.786%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.75%E -0.786%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.40%E -4.12%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 01:09
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.75%E -0.786%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.75%E -0.786%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 01:09
Pinnacle🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -3.58%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -2.51%E -1.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 01:09
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 01:09
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 01:01
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.29%E -6.53%K -30.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 01:09
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -1.79%E -1.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 01:09
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:10
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:09
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:10
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:09
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:09
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:09
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.68%E -3.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 01:04
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 01:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 01:00
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 01:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.84%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 01:09
NetBet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.57%E -5.91%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 01:01
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -6.36%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -2.51%E -1.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 01:09
GTbets🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 01:09
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 01:09
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.92%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.84%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 01:08
BetOnline.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.20%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.51%E -1.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:09
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -1.79%E -1.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 01:10
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 01:09
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.70%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 01:04
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.70%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 01:04
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.70%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 01:09
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.70%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.96%E -2.97%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 28.76%EV -11.92%E -3.76%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.24%EV -7.57%E -5.91%K -27.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-02-28 01:10
BetOpenly3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-02-28 00:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-02-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-02-28 01:09
Novig3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-02-28 01:09
ProphetX3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-02-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-02-28 01:10
Polymarket3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-02-28 01:10
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%1.7%2026-02-28 01:09
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-02-28 01:10