Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks v Indiana Pacers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 19:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 72.60%1.38fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.84%72.70%72.44%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.311.301.3681.97%76.55%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV +9.60%
Edge +2.40%
Kelly +3.20%
Growth +0.307%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%27.30%27.56%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.454.0031.75%28.84%28.99%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 72.60%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 27.40%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -9.25%E -7.40%K -37.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +9.60%E +2.40%K +3.20%G +0.307%5.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -11.43%E -9.37%K -51.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +9.60%E +2.40%K +3.20%G +0.307%7.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +4.12%E +1.08%K +1.47%G +0.061%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -8.52%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +4.12%E +1.08%K +1.47%G +0.061%5.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV +2.75%E +0.734%K +1.00%G +0.028%2.4%2026-03-15 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +2.75%E +0.734%K +1.00%G +0.028%3.6%2026-03-15 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.38%E +0.374%K +0.512%G +0.007%5.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -8.52%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +0.012%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -8.52%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +0.012%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -8.52%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +0.012%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.25%E -7.40%K -37.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.73%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -3.00%E -0.848%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 19:39
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -3.28%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 19:30
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 19:39
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 19:39
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:40
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:39
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:31
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -1.99%E -1.47%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -6.56%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:30
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 19:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.66%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -8.76%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.99%E -1.47%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:29
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -11.43%E -9.37%K -51.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:39
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 19:39
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.26%E -0.930%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-03-15 19:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.47%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.53%1.5%2026-03-15 19:38
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%3.0%2026-03-15 19:40
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%6.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%6.5%2026-03-15 19:40