The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Milwaukee Bucks v Chicago Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 20:16 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 125–132 Chicago Bulls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 52.90%1.89fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.84%53.05%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.9160.61%55.59%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 47.10%2.12fair odd
EV -0.154%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.138%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%47.16%46.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.022.1254.05%49.62%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 52.90%; Chicago Bulls (Visit): 47.10%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.04%E +0.547%K +1.15%G +0.012%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.04%E +0.547%K +1.15%G +0.012%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.04%E +0.547%K +1.15%G +0.012%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -1.60%E -0.860%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-23 20:00
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-23 20:04
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 14:07
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 14:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 19:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 19:54
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.154%E -0.073%K -0.138%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-23 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 20:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 19:45
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.22%E -3.66%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 20:00
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 19:59
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 19:45
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 19:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 19:45
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.30%E -2.96%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.30%E -2.96%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -0.154%E -0.073%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-23 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 20:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.10%E -0.522%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.10%E -0.522%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 20:14
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.10%E -0.522%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 19:45
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.10%E -0.522%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 19:53
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 20:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 20:10
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.89%E -3.92%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.28%E -3.15%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.89%E -3.92%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 20:10
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 20:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 19:55
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 20:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.48%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.10%E -0.522%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -9.01%E -5.24%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.10%E -0.522%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.01%E -5.24%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.10%E -4.72%K -9.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.06%E -5.92%K -14.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.52%E -5.53%K -11.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 20:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.86%EV -12.71%E -7.70%K -19.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -12.87%E -6.96%K -15.14%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-23 20:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-10-23 20:10
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-23 19:45
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-10-23 20:15
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-10-23 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-10-23 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-10-23 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-10-23 20:15
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.8%2026-10-23 19:59
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-10-23 20:15
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-10-23 20:15