Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.94
assuming max odds 2.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 50.85%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 49.15%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.34%E -0.693%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -1.85%E -0.960%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -10.06%E -5.50%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 02:32 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.71%E -0.854%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 02:33 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 02:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 02:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.89%E -2.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.89%E -2.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.18%E -1.62%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 02:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.71%E -0.854%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.71%E -0.854%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.43%E -3.49%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.45%E -4.09%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -6.62%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.45%E -4.09%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.11%E -3.76%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.71%E -0.854%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -9.99%E -5.64%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:29 |