L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Los Angeles Lakers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 00:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 58.39%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.784%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%58.37%58.29%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.651.6963.69%61.19%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Lakers (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.61%2.40cote équitable
EV +0.287%
Avantage +0.119%
Kelly +0.203%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.63%41.71%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.302.4146.51%43.56%43.48%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -7.16%E -4.51%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV +0.287%E +0.119%K +0.203%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 23:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-20 00:08
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:08
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.962%E -0.404%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.962%E -0.404%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:08
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:10
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 23:59
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 00:09
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 00:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.04%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 00:08
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:59
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:08
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:09
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:08
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.51%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:10
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:59
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:08
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.96%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:01
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.33%E -0.784%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:09
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:10
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 23:59
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.62%E -3.43%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:09
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.33%E -0.784%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:06
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 00:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-03-20 00:09
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-03-20 00:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-20 00:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-20 00:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-20 00:09
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%8.8%2026-03-19 23:59