La escuela de los momios

Miami Heat v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-03-20 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Predicción 58.39%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.784%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%58.37%58.29%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.651.6963.69%61.19%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 41.61%2.40momio equitativo
EV +0.287%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.203%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.63%41.71%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.302.4146.51%43.56%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -7.16%E -4.51%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV +0.287%E +0.119%K +0.203%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 23:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-20 00:08
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:08
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.129%E -0.054%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.962%E -0.404%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.962%E -0.404%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:08
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:10
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 23:59
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 00:09
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 00:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.04%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 00:08
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:59
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:08
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:09
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:08
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.16%E -4.51%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:10
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:59
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -4.71%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:08
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.96%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:01
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.33%E -0.784%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:09
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:10
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.24%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 23:59
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.62%E -3.43%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:09
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.33%E -0.784%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:06
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 00:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-03-20 00:09
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-03-20 00:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-20 00:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-20 00:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-20 00:09
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%8.8%2026-03-19 23:59