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Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 73.13%1.37fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -5.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.02%73.10%73.17%74.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3481.97%77.09%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Pacers (Visit)
Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV +0.747%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.272%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%26.90%26.83%29.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.543.543.7535.09%28.22%28.21%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 73.13%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 26.87%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.747%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.747%E +0.199%K +0.272%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-10-30 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.747%E +0.199%K +0.272%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-10-30 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.747%E +0.199%K +0.272%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-10-30 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.597%E -0.161%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-30 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.597%E -0.161%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.597%E -0.161%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.597%E -0.161%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-30 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.597%E -0.161%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-31 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.69%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.31%EV -1.40%E -0.382%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-30 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.46%E -2.62%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-30 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-30 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.94%E -0.531%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.48%E -0.682%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-30 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.46%E -2.62%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.46%E -2.62%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-30 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.46%E -2.62%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-30 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -2.00%E -1.49%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -3.55%E -0.989%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-31 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-30 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.85%E -6.23%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-31 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.60%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.73%E -2.05%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-31 00:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.73%E -2.05%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-30 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.46%E -2.62%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-30 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-30 23:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-30 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-30 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-30 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-30 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-30 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-30 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-30 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-30 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.85%E -6.23%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-30 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.85%E -6.23%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-30 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.46%E -2.62%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-30 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.72%EV -10.04%E -8.17%K -43.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.00%E -1.49%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-30 21:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.73%E -2.05%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-30 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.73%E -2.05%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-30 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.73%E -2.05%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-30 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -9.31%E -7.51%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.95%EV -4.19%E -3.20%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-30 21:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-31 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-31 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.02%EV -10.78%E -8.83%K -48.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.98%EV -23.43%E -8.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-30 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-31 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-30 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-10-31 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |