L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Houston Rockets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 20:42 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 44.69%2.24cote équitable
EV -0.798%
Avantage -0.360%
Kelly -0.654%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.67%44.77%46.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.132.132.2248.78%46.90%46.95%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Rockets (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.31%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.865%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.52%55.33%55.23%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.03%57.80%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -0.798%E -0.360%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.86%E -2.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.86%E -2.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 20:39
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:38
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 20:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 20:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.14%E -0.977%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-28 20:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 20:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 20:39
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:38
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.82%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.82%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:38
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.54%E -0.865%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 20:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.61%E -3.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:33
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.50%E -3.62%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.50%E -3.62%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 20:31
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.95%E -3.86%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.39%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.54%E -0.865%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:31
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.39%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 20:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.39%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.73%E -5.29%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:37
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34%0.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-28 20:39
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-02-28 20:39