مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Heat v Houston Rockets

البداية: 2026-02-28 20:42 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.69%2.24السعر العادل
EV -0.798%
الأفضلية -0.360%
Kelly -0.654%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%44.67%44.77%46.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.132.132.2248.78%46.90%46.95%45.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Houston Rockets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.31%1.81السعر العادل
EV -1.54%
الأفضلية -0.865%
Kelly -1.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.52%55.33%55.23%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.03%57.80%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -0.798%E -0.360%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.86%E -2.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.86%E -2.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 20:39
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:38
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 20:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 20:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.69%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.14%E -0.977%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-28 20:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 20:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 20:39
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:38
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.57%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:39
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.82%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.82%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:38
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.54%E -0.865%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 20:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:39
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.61%E -3.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:33
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.50%E -3.62%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.50%E -3.62%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 20:31
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.95%E -3.86%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.39%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.54%E -0.865%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:31
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.39%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 20:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.39%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.73%E -5.29%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:37
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34%0.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-02-28 20:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-28 20:39
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-28 20:39
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-02-28 20:39
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-02-28 20:39