Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 24.33%4.11fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.520%
Kelly +0.683%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%24.43%24.27%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.904.2028.57%25.74%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 75.67%1.32fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%75.57%75.73%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.24%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 24.33%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 75.67%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.18%E +0.520%K +0.683%G +0.015%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 00:50
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.18%E +0.520%K +0.683%G +0.015%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.248%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 00:50
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.248%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.248%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.97%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:50
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.248%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.97%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.248%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.97%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -1.22%E -0.301%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:30
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:05
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 01:00
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 01:05
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:55
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:10
GTbets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:05
Fliff🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 01:05
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -3.17%E -0.796%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.90%E -0.987%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.90%E -0.987%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.90%E -0.987%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.90%E -0.987%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:50
BetAnything🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.90%E -0.987%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:30
Pinnacle🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV -4.14%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 00:55
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 01:00
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:50
BoyleSports🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:13
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.14%E -2.45%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 01:05
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:49
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:24
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:40
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:50
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:50
Dabble (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 00:05
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 01:05
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 01:05
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.17%E -4.97%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 00:45
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -1.63%E -1.25%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 01:05
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.14%E -2.45%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 00:50
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.14%E -2.45%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.20%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.66%E -3.69%K -17.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.17%E -4.97%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 01:01
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.85%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.85%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:50
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.85%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly3.98I 25.13%NM 25.19%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.81%-0.2%2026-03-05 00:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Novig4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-03-05 01:05
Polymarket4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-03-05 01:05
ProphetX4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%1.6%2026-03-05 00:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-03-05 01:00