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Memphis Grizzlies v Houston Rockets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Memphis Grizzlies (Local)
Prediction 13.40%7.46fair odd
EV +7.90%
Edge +0.981%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 8.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.47%13.37%16.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.707.067.008.0517.54%14.17%14.29%12.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Rockets (Visit)
Prediction 86.60%1.15fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -25.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.95%86.53%86.63%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.101.111.1296.15%90.75%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 13.40%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 86.60%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.46. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.93%EV +7.90%E +0.981%K +1.12%G +0.089% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.07%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +7.23%E +0.904%K +1.03%G +0.075% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +7.23%E +0.904%K +1.03%G +0.075% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +7.23%E +0.904%K +1.03%G +0.075% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +7.23%E +0.904%K +1.03%G +0.075% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.23%E +0.904%K +1.03%G +0.075% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.48%E -6.00%K -80.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.39%EV +5.22%E +0.665%K +0.762%G +0.040% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.61%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.528%E +0.070%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.528%E +0.070%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.528%E +0.070%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.528%E +0.070%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.48%E -6.00%K -80.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.528%E +0.070%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.48%E -6.00%K -80.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.31I 13.68%NM 13.18%EV -2.02%E -0.276%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.82%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -2.15%E -0.295%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -2.82%E -0.389%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.82%E -0.389%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.82%E -0.389%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.82%E -0.389%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.82%E -0.389%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.55%EV -2.82%E -0.389%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.45%EV -9.94%E -9.56%K -248.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.49%E -0.485%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.49%E -0.485%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.49%E -0.485%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -3.49%E -0.485%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.48%E -6.00%K -80.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -4.43%E -0.621%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.01%E -2.69%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.01%E -2.69%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.17%E -0.882%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.48%E -6.00%K -80.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -6.58%E -0.943%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -8.85%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.01%E -2.69%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -8.85%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.01%E -2.69%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.52%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.88%E -1.98%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.01%E -2.69%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.88%E -1.98%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.01%E -2.69%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.88%E -1.98%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.01%E -2.69%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.88%E -1.98%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.88%E -1.98%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.23%E -2.60%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.88%E -3.49%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -16.23%E -2.60%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.74%E -4.31%K -47.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -18.24%E -2.99%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -7.34%E -6.86%K -104.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -23.60%E -4.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -5.61%E -5.15%K -62.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.58% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 1.3% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |