La escuela de los momios

Memphis Grizzlies v Golden State Warriors

Inicio: 2026-02-26 00:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Predicción 38.63%2.59momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.591%
Kelly -0.972%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.61%38.61%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.462.452.5543.10%40.58%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 61.37%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%61.39%61.39%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.31%64.10%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.51%E -0.591%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.03%E -1.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 00:39
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.51%E -0.591%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-26 00:39
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.51%E -0.591%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 00:39
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.51%E -0.591%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 00:40
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -2.28%E -0.901%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:40
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.03%E -1.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 00:40
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 00:40
Caesars2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.03%E -1.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:39
BetAnything2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 00:40
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.80%E -1.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 00:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:40
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:39
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:39
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:39
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:39
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:40
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:40
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:39
Coolbet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:38
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:40
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:39
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:39
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:40
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 00:40
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 00:39
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.21%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 00:29
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 00:39
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 00:34
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.03%E -1.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:39
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.03%E -1.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.03%E -1.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 00:40
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 00:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:40
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:40
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:40
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:29
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:29
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:29
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.75%E -2.36%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:30
Unibet (FR)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.75%E -2.36%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:39
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:40
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 00:40
MyBookie.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.53%E -2.70%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 00:33
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.53%E -2.70%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.32%E -4.85%K -14.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 00:31
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:39
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.26%E -2.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:39
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 00:39
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.10%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -10.39%E -4.48%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -7.32%E -4.85%K -14.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 00:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-02-26 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-02-26 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-02-26 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-02-26 00:40
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-02-26 00:40
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-02-26 00:29
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-02-26 00:40
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-02-26 00:40
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-02-26 00:40
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-02-26 00:40