Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 1.51
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 34.93%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 65.07%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.30%E +0.448%K +0.684%G +0.009% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.447%E -0.157%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.447%E -0.157%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.447%E -0.157%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.447%E -0.157%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -0.797%E -0.281%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -1.50%E -0.530%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -1.50%E -0.530%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 00:07 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -1.84%E -0.656%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.19%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -1.75%E -1.16%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 00:07 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -5.34%E -1.97%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.69%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.39%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.61%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.43%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.43%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.43%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.00%E -3.42%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.05%E -2.04%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.93%E -4.28%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 00:07 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92% | -0.2% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |