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Memphis Grizzlies v Boston Celtics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Memphis Grizzlies (Local)
Prediction 11.27%8.88fair odd
EV +12.67%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.178%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.48%11.09%14.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.408.278.2510.0015.63%12.08%12.12%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Celtics (Visit)
Prediction 88.73%1.13fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -13.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.79%88.52%88.91%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.081.1196.15%92.85%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 11.27%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 88.73%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.88. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.67%E +1.27%K +1.41%G +0.178% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.72I 10.29%NM 9.92%EV +9.52%E +0.979%K +1.09%G +0.104% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.08%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +8.17%E +0.851%K +0.949%G +0.078% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.04%E +0.741%K +0.828%G +0.058% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +7.04%E +0.741%K +0.828%G +0.058% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +5.46%E +0.583%K +0.653%G +0.036% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +4.22%E +0.456%K +0.512%G +0.022% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.19I 10.88%NM 10.52%EV +3.55%E +0.386%K +0.433%G +0.015% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.48%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +2.53%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.41%E +0.156%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.41%E +0.156%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.41%E +0.156%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.41%E +0.156%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -1.41%E -0.161%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.41%E -0.161%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.62%EV -1.41%E -0.161%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.38%EV -7.72%E -7.42%K -192.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.65I 11.56%NM 11.19%EV -2.54%E -0.293%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.81%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.54%EV -2.39%E -2.18%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -7.05%E -0.854%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -7.05%E -0.854%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:07 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -7.05%E -0.854%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:02 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.86%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -10.99%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -12.68%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -14.37%E -1.89%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.28%E -3.01%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.50%E -2.07%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.50%E -2.07%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -15.50%E -2.07%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.50%E -2.07%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -18.31%E -2.53%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -21.13%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -1.51%E -1.36%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -21.13%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.39%E -2.18%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -21.13%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.39%E -2.18%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.13%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.17%E -3.86%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -26.76%E -4.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.06%E -4.73%K -72.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -27.89%E -4.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -5.94%E -5.61%K -99.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 00:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 8.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.98% | -0.3% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 10.92I 9.16%NM 9.15% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.85% | 0.1% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |