Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Lakers v Indiana Pacers

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 03:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Prediction 76.87%1.30fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -8.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.15%76.68%76.92%79.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.71%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 23.13%4.32fair odd
EV +6.38%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%23.32%23.08%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.114.104.6028.57%24.32%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 76.87%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 23.13%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.98%E -5.77%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +6.38%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.113%4.4%2026-03-07 03:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.75%E -6.46%K -38.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.76%E +0.399%K +0.517%G +0.009%6.1%2026-03-07 03:39
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -0.557%E -0.129%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 03:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:40
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:39
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 03:39
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 03:39
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 03:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.71%E -0.403%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 03:40
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 03:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 03:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 03:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 03:39
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 03:36
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 03:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 03:30
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 03:39
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 03:39
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 03:39
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.87%E -0.683%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 03:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.03%E -0.970%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 03:39
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.03%E -0.970%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 03:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV -4.95%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:29
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.37%E -1.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 03:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 03:39
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 03:39
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 03:39
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 03:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:31
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:38
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.45%E -4.43%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 03:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 03:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.75%E -6.46%K -38.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 03:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.37%E -1.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 03:39
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.14%E -2.49%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 03:38
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:28
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 03:39
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 03:39
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.98%E -5.77%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 03:40
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:39
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:40
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.91%E -3.13%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.68%E -3.77%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 03:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.26%EV -6.98%E -5.77%K -33.25%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -14.89%E -4.05%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 03:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -19.06%E -5.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 03:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06%-0.3%2026-03-07 03:40
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 78.31%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.69%-0.2%2026-03-07 03:29
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-07 03:40
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.9%2026-03-07 03:40
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-03-07 03:39
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-03-07 03:40
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-03-07 03:40