The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Lakers v Golden State Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 02:17 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Lakers 127–105 Golden State Warriors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Prediction 66.91%1.49fair odd
EV -0.975%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%66.84%66.90%68.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.421.4874.07%70.47%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 33.09%3.02fair odd
EV +0.928%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.453%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%33.16%33.10%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.732.892.903.0536.63%34.60%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 66.91%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 33.09%. For Golden State Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.928%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.928%E +0.304%K +0.453%G +0.004%3.2%2026-10-22 02:03
Bet Victor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.928%E +0.304%K +0.453%G +0.004%3.2%2026-10-22 02:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -0.065%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-22 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.727%E -0.242%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.727%E -0.242%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 02:04
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.727%E -0.242%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.727%E -0.242%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -2.31%E -1.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV -1.39%E -0.466%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-22 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.05%E -0.693%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 00:50
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:00
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.38%E -0.807%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.71%E -0.923%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 02:10
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-21 22:45
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 13:30
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 15:45
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 21:26
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 02:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 02:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 15:46
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.70%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.70%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.70%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 02:05
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 00:35
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.98%E -2.06%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 02:00
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 02:00
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 02:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 21:20
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 02:05
picklebet_au🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 02:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.67%E -5.55%K -20.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.35%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.35%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.35%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.67%E -5.55%K -20.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.35%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -9.67%E -7.17%K -27.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -7.35%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-22 02:05
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -1.64%E -1.12%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -8.01%E -2.88%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV -8.34%E -3.01%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 13:30
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV -8.34%E -3.01%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 13:31
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -8.34%E -3.01%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 01:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -8.34%E -3.01%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 02:00
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.975%E -0.659%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.00%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 01:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.00%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -4.99%E -3.51%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -9.66%E -3.54%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.54%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.46%0.0%2026-10-22 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-10-22 02:10
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-10-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-22 02:10
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-22 02:00
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-22 02:10
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-22 02:10
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-10-22 02:00
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%8.7%2026-10-22 02:10