La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Clippers v Golden State Warriors

Inicio: 2026-04-13 00:41 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Clippers 115–110 Golden State Warriors

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Clippers (Local)

Predicción 59.99%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.23%59.99%59.95%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.581.571.6567.11%63.28%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 40.01%2.50momio equitativo
EV +4.02%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +2.52%
Crecimiento +0.101%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%40.01%40.05%41.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.6044.44%41.56%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.01%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +4.02%E +1.55%K +2.52%G +0.101%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.01%E -4.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.023%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.777%E -0.313%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.777%E -0.313%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.777%E -0.313%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.777%E -0.313%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:39
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.777%E -0.313%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:29
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.777%E -0.313%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:39
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.777%E -0.313%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.58%E -0.641%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:28
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:40
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.21%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.21%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.98%E -0.807%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.01%E -4.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:39
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 00:39
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:39
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:39
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:39
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 00:30
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:29
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.21%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 00:40
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.18%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:33
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -1.02%E -0.615%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 00:39
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.58%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.22%E -1.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:40
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:32
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.21%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 00:30
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.38%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -10.61%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -6.78%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.02%E -0.615%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 00:40
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.01%E -4.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.98%E -4.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-13 00:40
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-13 00:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85%0.9%2026-04-13 00:29
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-04-13 00:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-04-13 00:38