Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.18
assuming max odds 6.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Clippers (Local): 83.01%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 16.99%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.89. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.43%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.97%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.03%EV +10.43%E +1.60%K +1.90%G +0.198% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.86%E -7.08%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.43%E +1.60%K +1.90%G +0.198% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 01:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.94%E +0.323%K +0.387%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 01:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.03%E -6.28%K -58.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.94%E +0.323%K +0.387%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.62%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.38%EV +0.577%E +0.098%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 02:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +0.238%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.238%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 02:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.238%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.238%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV -0.272%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -1.46%E -0.252%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 02:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.46%E -0.252%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.14%E -0.372%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.31%E -0.402%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.31%E -0.402%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.31%E -0.402%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.31%E -0.402%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.31%E -0.402%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.20%E -5.48%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.31%E -0.402%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.03%E -6.28%K -58.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.31%E -0.402%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.41%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.59%EV -2.65%E -0.463%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.16%E -0.554%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 01:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.16%E -0.554%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -4.01%E -0.710%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -4.86%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.86%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 01:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 02:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.03%E -6.28%K -58.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.03%E -6.28%K -58.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.56%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -8.26%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -9.96%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -10.81%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 05:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.54%E -3.95%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.81%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.65%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 02:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.37%E -4.71%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -13.35%E -2.62%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.05%E -1.74%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -15.05%E -3.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.05%E -3.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.05%E -3.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 02:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.88%E -2.46%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.05%E -3.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.20%E -5.48%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.05%E -3.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -7.86%E -7.08%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.05%E -3.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 01:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 84.63% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 15.37% | -0.7% | 2026-04-08 02:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.97% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 02:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 02:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-04-08 01:50 |