Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 16.37%6.11fair odd
EV +4.74%
Edge +0.741%
Kelly +0.878%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.01%16.46%16.36%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.795.806.4020.00%17.28%17.24%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 83.63%1.20fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -12.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.54%83.64%84.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.141.141.1791.74%87.84%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 16.37%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 83.63%. For Indiana Pacers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +4.74%E +0.741%K +0.878%G +0.042%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:40
FanDuel🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 23:40
Fliff🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.282%G +0.004%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -0.169%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:29
Coolbet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -0.169%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:39
ReBet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -0.169%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:29
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 23:40
Caesars🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 23:40
BetAnything🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:40
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:40
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:40
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:40
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:40
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:39
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.81%E -0.301%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Pinnacle🎯5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -2.46%E -0.413%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -2.98%E -2.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 23:39
GTbets🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -2.62%E -0.441%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -2.79%E -0.469%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:33
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -3.44%E -0.583%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -8.00%E -7.27%K -80.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 23:28
TAB🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.08%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 23:40
Neds🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV -5.57%E -0.965%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -2.98%E -2.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 23:40
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:40
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:40
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:40
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:40
BetUS🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -6.72%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -2.98%E -2.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -7.37%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -2.98%E -2.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.54%EV -7.53%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 23:36
Everygame🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -8.35%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -2.98%E -2.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -8.35%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:40
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.98%E -2.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 23:40
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.66%E -4.08%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:39
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.49%E -4.86%K -42.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 23:40
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 23:30
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.99%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.33%E -5.65%K -52.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -11.63%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -2.98%E -2.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 23:28
Betclic (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -13.26%E -2.50%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -8.00%E -7.27%K -80.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 23:40
NordicBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Betsson🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -14.90%E -2.87%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -8.84%E -8.11%K -98.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.15%E -1.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.82%E -3.32%K -25.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-03-18 23:40
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-03-18 23:40
Polymarket6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-03-18 23:40
BetOpenly6.74I 14.84%NM 14.58%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.42%1.8%2026-03-18 23:29
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%1.8%2026-03-18 23:40
Novig6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%2.2%2026-03-18 23:40
ProphetX6.30I 15.87%NM 15.44%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%2.8%2026-03-18 23:40