Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 1.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 22.80%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 77.20%. For Indiana Pacers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.89%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +4.89%E +1.06%K +1.36%G +0.066% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.59%E -5.45%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV +3.75%E +0.824%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -6.59%E -5.45%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.61%E +0.580%K +0.746%G +0.019% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.61%E +0.580%K +0.746%G +0.019% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV +1.24%E +0.280%K +0.361%G +0.004% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +0.329%E +0.075%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.329%E +0.075%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.329%E +0.075%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.329%E +0.075%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +0.329%E +0.075%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.36%E -6.14%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV -0.355%E -0.081%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.811%E -0.186%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.27%E -0.293%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.36%E -6.14%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.27%E -0.293%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.36%E -6.14%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.95%E -0.454%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.95%E -0.454%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.95%E -0.454%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.95%E -0.454%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.09%E -0.727%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 22:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.36%E -6.14%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.06%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.05%E -4.10%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV +0.357%E +0.275%K +1.19%G +0.004% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.96%E -1.54%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.96%E -1.54%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.96%E -1.54%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.59%E -5.45%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.49%E -3.86%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.49%E -3.86%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.49%E -3.86%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.63%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.50%E -2.80%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -15.63%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.27%E -3.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -17.91%E -4.98%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -5.82%E -4.77%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.75I 21.05%NM 21.10% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.90% | -0.2% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 4.67I 21.41%NM 21.38% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.62% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.97% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.03% | 0.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |