Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers v Memphis Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 22:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 49.54%2.02fair odd
EV -0.417%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.50%49.47%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.922.0154.64%52.10%52.08%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 50.46%1.98fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.564%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.50%50.53%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.891.9655.56%52.97%52.91%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 49.54%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 50.46%. For Indiana Pacers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.01, with an expected value of -0.417%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -0.417%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-01 20:35
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.913%E -0.456%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 20:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:44
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.15%E -3.31%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:49
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.89%E -2.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.11%E -0.564%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.62%E -1.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 21:59
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 20:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 21:54
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:44
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 21:59
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 22:04
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.11%E -1.09%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 03:10
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:39
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.64%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.14%E -2.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 21:59
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 21:04
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.65%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.37%E -2.81%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 22:04
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.11%E -1.09%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 21:49
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:34
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:39
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:39
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.15%E -3.31%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.16%E -3.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.36%E -3.37%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.14%E -2.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.35%E -3.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.66%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.34%E -4.51%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 22:03
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.34%E -5.10%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.63%E -1.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.34%E -5.10%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.14%E -2.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%0.0%2026-03-01 21:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-03-01 22:04
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-03-01 22:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-03-01 22:04
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-01 20:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-01 22:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-01 22:04
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-03-01 22:04
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-03-01 22:05
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%2.0%2026-03-01 22:04