Language:English
Indiana Pacers v Detroit Pistons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Pacers (Local)
Prediction 11.39%8.78fair odd
EV +8.20%
Edge +0.863%
Kelly +0.964%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.11%11.48%11.31%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.268.229.5014.29%12.11%12.16%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Pistons (Visit)
Prediction 88.61%1.13fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -14.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%88.52%88.69%89.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.081.1196.15%92.84%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 11.39%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 88.61%. For Indiana Pacers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.78. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +8.20%E +0.863%K +0.964%G +0.079% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.42I 10.62%NM 10.11%EV +7.28%E +0.773%K +0.865%G +0.063% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.89%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.61%EV +3.64%E +0.400%K +0.449%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.39%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +3.64%E +0.400%K +0.449%G +0.016% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +3.64%E +0.400%K +0.449%G +0.016% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.04I 11.06%NM 10.67%EV +2.96%E +0.327%K +0.368%G +0.011% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.33%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.50%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.50%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.50%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 20:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.50%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.50%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +1.93%E +0.216%K +0.243%G +0.005% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +0.223%E +0.025%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -0.232%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -2.05%E -0.239%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV -2.62%E -0.307%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV -2.62%E -0.307%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.19%E -0.376%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.73%EV -4.90%E -0.587%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.27%EV -1.64%E -1.48%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -6.04%E -0.732%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -6.04%E -0.732%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -6.61%E -0.806%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 20:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 20:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 21:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -8.89%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.96%E -6.63%K -139.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -11.17%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.41%E -3.13%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.30%E -3.98%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.07%E -5.73%K -101.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -17.43%E -2.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.53%E -2.30%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.28%E -2.90%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -20.28%E -2.90%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.84%E -7.54%K -196.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.46% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.54% | 0.2% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |