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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-11-07 22:13 UTC

Final: Indiana Pacers 102–114 Denver Nuggets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV +0.463%
Ventaja +0.127%
Kelly +0.175%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.41%27.66%27.62%29.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.413.453.6532.79%29.32%28.99%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 72.48%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.44%72.34%72.38%73.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.311.311.3680.65%76.06%76.34%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Indiana Pacers (Local): 27.52%; Denver Nuggets (Visitante): 72.48%. Para Indiana Pacers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.63. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.463%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.463%E +0.127%K +0.175%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-07 17:54
DraftKings🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -0.638%E -0.177%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 17:55
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 21:55
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 18:35
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 19:10
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 17:55
Fliff🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 21:55
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.913%E -0.254%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 21:55
GTbets🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.29%E -0.645%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-07 21:50
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.29%E -0.645%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-07 21:55
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.29%E -0.645%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-07 20:10
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.29%E -0.645%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 21:50
Pinnacle🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.61%EV -2.56%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.39%EV -2.16%E -1.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-07 21:50
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.88%E -2.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-07 22:10
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.88%E -2.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-07 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.88%E -2.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-07 22:10
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-07 17:56
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 21:15
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 21:45
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 17:54
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 17:54
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-07 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-07 17:55
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-07 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.20%EV -2.88%E -2.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-07 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 17:55
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.43%EV -5.32%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.57%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-07 21:20
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 21:40
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-07 22:10
ReBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-07 22:10
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 21:50
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 21:15
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 21:50
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.97%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 22:05
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.33%E -3.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-07 22:10
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-07 21:45
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-07 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.43%E -1.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.43%E -1.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.43%E -1.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.43%E -1.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.16%E -1.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 22:00
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.16%E -1.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 22:00
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.16%E -1.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 22:00
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.16%E -1.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 22:00
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.16%E -1.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 22:00
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.16%E -1.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -10.13%E -8.17%K -42.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-07 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.92%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.88%E -2.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.92%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-07 22:00
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-07 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -14.68%E -4.73%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-07 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -16.05%E -5.26%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.44%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -16.05%E -5.26%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -7.96%E -6.26%K -29.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-07 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -16.05%E -5.26%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93%EV -9.41%E -7.52%K -37.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-07 21:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-11-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-11-07 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-11-07 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-11-07 21:55
ProphetX◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-11-07 22:10
Matchbook◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-11-07 21:55
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%0.6%2026-11-07 22:10
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-11-07 22:00
Polymarket◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-11-07 22:10
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%1.5%2026-11-07 22:10

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